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Scientific paper - Original scientific paper
Production and Trade Impacts of CAP Post 2022 Reform on Main Croatian Crop and Livestock Markets—Partial Equilibrium Modelling Approach
AGRONOMY-BASEL, 11 (2021), 12; 2518. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy11122518
Kranjac, David; Zmaić, Krunoslav; Sudarić, Tihana; Ravlić, Marija; Sušac Zrakić, M.; Grgić, I.; Rac, I.; Erjavec, E.

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Kranjac, D., Zmaić, K., Sudarić, T., Ravlić, M., Sušac Zrakić, M., Grgić, I. ... Erjavec, E. (2021). Production and Trade Impacts of CAP Post 2022 Reform on Main Croatian Crop and Livestock Markets—Partial Equilibrium Modelling Approach. AGRONOMY-BASEL, 11. (12). doi: 10.3390/agronomy11122518

Kranjac, David, et al. "Production and Trade Impacts of CAP Post 2022 Reform on Main Croatian Crop and Livestock Markets—Partial Equilibrium Modelling Approach." AGRONOMY-BASEL, vol. 11, no. 12, 2021. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy11122518

Kranjac, David, Krunoslav Zmaić, Tihana Sudarić, Marija Ravlić, M. Sušac Zrakić, I. Grgić, I. Rac and E. Erjavec. "Production and Trade Impacts of CAP Post 2022 Reform on Main Croatian Crop and Livestock Markets—Partial Equilibrium Modelling Approach." AGRONOMY-BASEL 11, no. 12 (2021). https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy11122518

Kranjac, D., et al. (2021) 'Production and Trade Impacts of CAP Post 2022 Reform on Main Croatian Crop and Livestock Markets—Partial Equilibrium Modelling Approach', AGRONOMY-BASEL, 11(12). doi: 10.3390/agronomy11122518

Kranjac D, Zmaić K, Sudarić T, Ravlić M, Sušac Zrakić M, Grgić I, and sur.. Production and Trade Impacts of CAP Post 2022 Reform on Main Croatian Crop and Livestock Markets—Partial Equilibrium Modelling Approach. AGRONOMY-BASEL [Internet]. 2021 December 11 [cited 2024 December 16];11(12). doi: 10.3390/agronomy11122518

D. Kranjac, et al., "Production and Trade Impacts of CAP Post 2022 Reform on Main Croatian Crop and Livestock Markets—Partial Equilibrium Modelling Approach", AGRONOMY-BASEL, vol. 11, no. 12, December 2021. [Online]. Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:151:568204. [Accessed: 16 December 2024]

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Metadata
Title (english)Production and Trade Impacts of CAP Post 2022 Reform on Main Croatian Crop and Livestock Markets—Partial Equilibrium Modelling Approach
AuthorDavid Kranjac
AuthorKrunoslav Zmaić
AuthorTihana Sudarić
AuthorMarija Ravlić
AuthorM. Sušac Zrakić
AuthorI. Grgić
AuthorI. Rac
AuthorE. Erjavec
Author's institutionJosip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek
Faculty of Agrobiotechnical Sciences Osijek
(Department of Bioeconomics and Rural Development)
Scientific / art field,
discipline and subdiscipline		BIOTECHNICAL SCIENCES
Agronomy
Economics
Abstract (english)
The Latest Common Agricultural Policy reform intends to expand and strengthen environmental and social support and to liberalise the delivery model carried out through strategic planning. This paper aims to assess the potential impacts of the new CAP reform on the main agricultural markets in Croatia. The impact assessment is analysed using the AGMEMOD model where, in addition to the baseline scenario, three scenarios of potential changes are developed and compared to the baseline. Changes in market patterns (production, yield and net trade) at the end of the simulated period are compared with the baseline scenario results by 2030. The reduction in support levels to production, abolishment of voluntary coupled supports and introduction of additional environmental constraints have a significant impact on the main Croatian agricultural markets. Crop markets prov to be less dependent on subsidies, so that market pattern changes will not mean the loss of Croatia’s net export status for soft wheat, maize and soy beans, while barley no longer holds this status. Livestock sectors, especially beef and dairy, in addition to demonstrating a distinct lack of competitiveness even before the Croatian accession to the EU, additionally suffer significant production volume losses along with an increase in imports. Although significant, changes to the Croatian agricultural market are not dramatic enough to cause a complete production breakdown by 2030.
Keywords (english)
Languageenglish
Publication typeScientific paper - Original scientific paper
Publication statusPublished
Peer reviewPeer review - domestic
Publication versionPublished version
Journal titleAGRONOMY-BASEL
Numberingvol. 11, no. 12, 2518
e-ISSN2073-4395
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy11122518
URN:NBNurn:nbn:hr:151:568204
Publication2021-12-11
Document URLhttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-4395/11/12/2518
Type of resourceText
Access conditionsOpen access
Terms of useLicence In copyright icon
Created on2024-06-18 11:39:45